<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Rational/Contemporary &#187; Observations</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/categories/observations/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com</link>
	<description>Personal webpage of Joshuah Stolaroff</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 21 Nov 2011 22:59:23 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1</generator>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
			<item>
		<title>Letter to Senator Feinstein on the FBI&#8217;s expanded invasions of privacy</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/229</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/229#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jun 2011 23:30:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=229</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I sent this message to Diane Feinstein (links added for this post).
Dear Senator Feinstein,
It was reported by the New York Times recently that the FBI plans to
expand its already invasive practices by conducting database searches,
surveillance, and going through the trash of American citizens who are
not even suspected of wrongdoing.
This is one more outrage in a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>I sent this message to Diane Feinstein (links added for this post).</em></p>
<p>Dear Senator Feinstein,</p>
<p>It was <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/13/us/13fbi.html">reported</a> by the New York Times recently that the FBI plans to<br />
expand its already invasive practices by conducting database searches,<br />
surveillance, and going through the trash of American citizens who are<br />
not even suspected of wrongdoing.</p>
<p>This is one more outrage in a long series of outrageous <a href="http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2009/04/09/tpm">secret</a> and<br />
<a href="http://www.salon.com/news/politics/war_room/2011/05/31/legality_america_torture/index.html">illegal</a> <a href="http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2011/05/23/110523fa_fact_mayer?currentPage=all">violations</a> of civil liberties by the Federal government which<br />
are destroying America. Since its founding, this has been a country of<br />
laws, and that is what made us great. America is <a href="http://www.vancouversun.com/news/used+unmitigated+gall+court+jail+exec/4885987/story.html">becoming</a> an oligarchy.<br />
When that transition is complete, we will be no better than the<br />
tyrannical dictatorships we are fighting against.</p>
<p>I know that, as Chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, you are<br />
privy to even more of the <a href="http://www.aclu.org/national-security/fbi-audit-exposes-widespread-abuse-patriot-act-powers">lawless</a>, <a href="http://www2.timesdispatch.com/news/2011/jun/14/tdopin02-presidency-grows-even-more-imperial-ar-1106046/">power</a> <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/national-security/cia-to-operate-drones-over-yemen/2011/06/13/AG7VyyTH_story.html?hpid=z2">grabbing</a> <a href="http://news.firedoglake.com/2011/06/16/obama-asserts-sweeping-executive-powers-in-libya-war-powers-justification/">activities</a> than the<br />
substantial <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/07/world/middleeast/07yemen.html">abuses</a> that are publicly known. If you are a patriot, I urge<br />
you to fulfill your Constitutional responsibility as a check on<br />
Executive power and oppose the new FBI guidelines as well as other<br />
attacks on civil liberties.</p>
<p>Thank you.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/229/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Time</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/226</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/226#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Jan 2011 19:31:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Everyday garbage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=226</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We have time or we don&#8217;t have time. We buy time or we lose time. But time cannot be owned. And so, how can it be lost?
Often, I fight time. It is scarce. Internally, I rail against its scarcity. Externally, I go faster. Dangerously fast. Internally, I feel helpless. I grit my teeth. Externally, I [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We have time or we don&#8217;t have time. We buy time or we lose time. But time cannot be owned. And so, how can it be lost?</p>
<p>Often, I fight time. It is scarce. Internally, I rail against its scarcity. Externally, I go faster. Dangerously fast. Internally, I feel helpless. I grit my teeth. Externally, I do not do one third of the things I have planned. Meanwhile, I do other things. Useless things. Internally, I feel bad about this. </p>
<p>Time is a limited container. Fill it with what you will. Put in the large rocks of your schedule first: work, doctor&#8217;s appointments, crises, sleep. Sleep is sandstone, softer than the others. You may break off a peice here and there to make it fit. Then, add the smaller and rounder stones of meals, visits with friends, concerts, errands, showers. It is tempting to shake the container at this point, to settle the contents and make room for a few more. Do not do this. Leave room for travel time. Now, add the sand of daily life. Fill the space with e-mail, television, chatting in the hall, reading a few pages on the train, buying a candy bar. Finally, pour in the water of thoughts, paces, breaths, and sighs. Is the container full? Does it hold everything you want?</p>
<p>Of course not. But time is not a limited container. The containers are constructs of our own creation. A day is a basket, woven out of numbers and social conventions. I have woven a basket, and now I am upset that it doesn&#8217;t hold everything I want it to hold. The limits, I feel, are imposed by the fabric of the universe. Time is scare and I am helpless to stretch it, to wind it back, to own more of it. But really, I have just mismatched the basket and what I want to carry.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/226/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Goals of communication</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/221</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/221#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Oct 2010 18:43:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=221</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s tempting to think about communication as just about transmitting information. It would follow that the quality of communication can be measured by how well the idea in the head of the person listening matches the idea in the head of the speaker that she wishes to convey. To be sure, plenty of communication is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s tempting to think about communication as just about transmitting information. It would follow that the quality of communication can be measured by how well the idea in the head of the person listening matches the idea in the head of the speaker that she wishes to convey. To be sure, plenty of communication is best characterized as a means to an end:<br />
&#8220;So, the trash.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Trash, it&#8217;s everywhere. I know.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;I mean, the particular trash in our garbage can.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;It&#8217;s such a wasteful society we live in. I totally feel your pain about the waste of it all. You try to be conscientious, but everything comes in so much packaging.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;No, I just want you to take out the trash.&#8221;</p>
<p>We convey such information in order to modify the behavior of the listener in some related way. But I would venture that the majority of words spoken in our day-to-day lives are not about transmitting information, not the kind that serves a specific purpose. We also communicate as a means of forming social bonds, of establishing social relationships.<br />
&#8220;How about that weather, huh?&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Yeah. Crazy.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Hey, now that we&#8217;ve established this bond, you know, over our shared experience of the weather, maybe it&#8217;ll be less awkward next time we pass each other in the hall?&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Yeah, I feel so much closer to you now. I won&#8217;t look away so pointedly next time we may chance to make eye contact.&#8221;</p>
<p>The goal of such communication is not related much to what is transmitted, but the fact that we share something. One may still argue that communication of this type is a means to an end. But there is also communication for its own sake. We just want to connect, to feel less alone.<br />
&#8220;I just tripped on this sidewalk and broke my ankle.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Oh my God. Do you need help?&#8221;<br />
&#8220;It&#8217;s just a perfect end to a lousy day. I mean, my boss bitched me out this morning. I was all distracted, rerunning the conversation in my head and coming up with retorts, carrying all these grocery bags. I didn&#8217;t see the crack.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Hey, should I call 911 or something?&#8221;<br />
&#8220;I mean, you ever had one of those days, where just everything goes wrong? It feels like the world is against you?&#8221;<br />
&#8220;I could at least try to help you up?&#8221;<br />
&#8220;No, I&#8217;m good. I just needed to vent.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Oh yeah. Well. I know what you mean. We all have those days.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;I feel so much better now. Well, except for my ankle.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is the kind of communication that we crave when we&#8217;ve been alone. It&#8217;s not that we&#8217;re starved for information. We can watch movies and read books. We can even read the news and be sure of having a set of shared information with plenty of other people. One can still get awfully lonely without having two-way communication for its on sake. I would speculate that this third type of communication has fallen off as the first two types, mediated by technology, have increased as a proportion of our lives. I wonder if this has something to do with why everyone seems to be in therapy. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/221/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>5-song demo and music video are out!</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/213</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/213#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 May 2010 22:10:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=213</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I recorded a demo EP. 5 songs, full-band arrangements, all originals. Themes include climate change, the financial crisis, disillusionment with the Obama administration, the dystopian future, and turning 30. There is even a music video. Check it out on my music website: http://www.stolaroff.com
I started working on this project maybe a year and a half ago. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I recorded a demo EP. 5 songs, full-band arrangements, all originals. Themes include climate change, the financial crisis, disillusionment with the Obama administration, the dystopian future, and turning 30. There is even a music video. Check it out on my music website: <a href="http://www.stolaroff.com">http://www.stolaroff.com</a></p>
<p>I started working on this project maybe a year and a half ago. It turns out, recording an album on your own is a lot of work. Why do many of us take on challenging creative projects with dubious rewards? It&#8217;s something I continue asking myself, and I think I&#8217;ve explored it far enough to know that the answer is not, simply, &#8220;for fun&#8221;.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/213/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Greetings and modes of transportation</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/211</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/211#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Apr 2010 19:06:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Everyday garbage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=211</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To get to work, I have to pass through a guard station and have my badge checked. The guards are mostly big, beefy guys in SWAT gear, but friendly. When I drive in, I usually get a &#8220;Thank you, sir&#8221; or &#8220;Have a good day, sir.&#8221; When I bike in, however, I get a &#8220;How&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To get to work, I have to pass through a guard station and have my badge checked. The guards are mostly big, beefy guys in SWAT gear, but friendly. When I drive in, I usually get a &#8220;Thank you, sir&#8221; or &#8220;Have a good day, sir.&#8221; When I bike in, however, I get a &#8220;How&#8217;s it goin&#8217;, man?&#8221; or &#8220;Hey, man,&#8221; followed with &#8220;Have a good one&#8221; or similar. Apparently on a bicycle I am more a man of the people. That, or I command less respect.  </p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/211/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The many hands of capitalism</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/197</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/197#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jan 2010 16:47:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=197</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The beauty of capitalism, argues Adam Smith and my textbook, is that  resources are magically guided by the invisible hand of the market to their most efficient uses. No central planning body is needed, as it is in communism, to decide how much of each product should be produced and who should receive it. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The beauty of capitalism, argues Adam Smith and my textbook, is that  resources are magically guided by the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invisible_hand">invisible hand</a> of the market to their most efficient uses. No central planning body is needed, as it is in communism, to decide how much of each product should be produced and who should receive it. </p>
<p>On the micro-scale, this is true in many ways. The individual decisions of millions of businesses, communicating through prices, add up to a system that satisfies most people&#8217;s wants with a dizzying array of constantly-improving products. We don&#8217;t need a giant bureaucracy to set the price of raisin bagels or determine how many electric lawnmowers should be built. </p>
<p>However, what I&#8217;m now discovering is that there is no &#8220;invisible hand&#8221; analogy on the macro-scale. The &#8220;natural&#8221; macroeconomic outcome of an entirely free market is abhorrent. Devastating cycles of boom, bubble, and recession; ever-more concentrated wealth; terrible working conditions for the poor; and, perhaps, resource depletion and collapse. It&#8217;s entirely up to the government (and, in some cases, labor unions), to guide the market with fiscal policy (government spending), monetary policy (mainly the interest rate), and human rights protections, and to clean up after the market with social welfare programs.</p>
<p>The hands are quite visible. So how much do you trust your government? They&#8217;ve been doing a bang-up job lately. Poor monetary policy (years of super-low interest rates, among other problems), contributed greatly to the housing bubble and our current Great Recession. </p>
<p>I just think it&#8217;s important to remember when certain pundits and Wall Street executives plead for small government and financial deregulation, that there is no reason to believe that would help in macroeconomic terms. </p>
<p>On the micro-level &#8212; when you are talking about things like price tariffs, subsidies, restrictions on trade, product standards &#8212; there is a justification, at least in theory, to call for &#8220;smaller government&#8221; or deregulation. Because here the market allocates resources more efficiently than the government would (again, at least in theory). But we already know what happens to the macroeconomy, left to its own devices, and that is everyone but the fabulously rich and very lucky gets smacked around by the invisible hand. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/197/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Of Smith, Chin, and Gonzales</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/199</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/199#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 15:59:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=199</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Judging by the remedial, tediously redundant treatment of math in my macroecon textbook, I assume that it is meant for business majors. So it&#8217;s great to know our future captains of industry are reading passages like this one (on the &#8220;multiplier effect&#8221;):
First, the economy supports repetitive, continuous flows of expenditures and income through which dollars [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Judging by the remedial, tediously redundant treatment of math in my macroecon textbook, I assume that it is meant for business majors. So it&#8217;s great to know our future captains of industry are reading passages like this one (on the &#8220;multiplier effect&#8221;):</p>
<blockquote><p>First, the economy supports repetitive, continuous flows of expenditures and income through which dollars spent by Smith are received as income by Chin, then spent by Chin and received as income by Gonzales, and so on.</p></blockquote>
<p>Notice how this apparent attempt at multiculturalism implies an income hierarchy reinforcing ethnic stereotypes and supports a paternalistic, trickle-down theory of wealth creation at the same time?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/199/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Macroeconomics and women in the workplace</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/191</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/191#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 17:30:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=191</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I was curious from the beginning how far into a macroeconomics textbook I would get before it pissed me off. It turns out: only until the end of Chapter 2: The Economizing Problem. The most offensive passage comes from a section titled &#8220;Women and Expanded Production Possibilities&#8221;, which aims to explain the increased proportion of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was curious from the beginning how far into a macroeconomics textbook I would get before it pissed me off. It turns out: only until the end of Chapter 2: The Economizing Problem. The most offensive passage comes from a section titled &#8220;Women and Expanded Production Possibilities&#8221;, which aims to explain the increased proportion of working women in the U.S., and which does it thusly:</p>
<blockquote><p>Over recent years, women have greatly increased their productivity in the workplace, mostly by becoming better-educated and professionally trained. As a result they can earn higher wages. Because those higher wages have increased the opportunity costs &#8212; the forgone wage earnings &#8212; of staying at home, women have substituted employment in the labor market for more &#8220;expensive&#8221; traditional home activities. This substitution has been particularly pronounced among married women.<sup>1</sup></p></blockquote>
<p>This passage implies that the reason women were not working before is that they weren&#8217;t valuable workers (being untrained and uneducated) and without the prospect of high wages, they preferred to stay home. The section goes on to give a number of additional explanations, none of which give any reference to social factors, e.g.<strong> the women&#8217;s movement</strong> (just as a random example).</p>
<p>Certainly economic explanations are important to understanding broad social and demographic changes. But only an economist would not put social or cultural factors among the reasons for women&#8217;s rise in the workplace. And this goes to a fundamental problem with neoclassical economists: they believe economics can explain far more about the world than it does. And then they make policy recommendations based on that conceit, and we keep listening to them. </p>
<ol class="footnotes"><li id="footnote_0_191" class="footnote">McConnel, Campbell R. and Brue, Stanley L. Macroeconomics: Principles, Problems, and Policies (15th ed). McGraw-Hill. New York, 2002.</li></ol>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/191/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Torture by any other name&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/150</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/150#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 22:13:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/?p=150</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Waterboarding is torture. It&#8217;s a well known and accepted fact by everyone except a small number of extremists like Dick Cheney, and unfortunately, editors of major newspapers like the Washington Post. The torture memos recently released by the Justice Department describe waterboarding, among other forms of torture. However, as one example in a pattern of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Waterboarding <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waterboarding#Classification_as_torture">is torture</a>. It&#8217;s a well known and accepted fact by everyone except a small number of extremists like Dick Cheney, and unfortunately, editors of major newspapers like the <em>Washington Post</em>. The torture memos <a href="http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2009/04/17/prosecutions/index.html">recently released</a> by the Justice Department describe waterboarding, among other forms of torture. However, as one example in a pattern of underplaying torture committed by the U.S. Government, today in a news article the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/13/AR2009051301281.html">Washington Post referred to the techniques</a> described in those memos as &#8220;harsh tactics that critics liken to torture&#8221;. This is akin to describing carbon dioxide as &#8220;an industrial byproduct that critics liken to pollution&#8221; or referring to current economic conditions as &#8220;a slowing of the market that critics liken to a recession&#8221;. </p>
<p>Of course you can find many people, even people in prominent or powerful positions, who believe carbon dioxide is not a pollutant (e.g. Senator James Inhofe), or who don&#8217;t characterize current economic conditions as a recession.  But that does not justify presenting a widely-held and generally-accepted fact as a fringe belief. Waterboarding is widely and generally accepted to be torture, not &#8220;likened&#8221; to torture and not only by &#8220;critics&#8221;, just as carbon dioxide is not merely &#8220;likened&#8221; to pollution and not only by &#8220;critics&#8221;. </p>
<p>I wrote a letter to the editor of the <em>Post</em> about this; I&#8217;ll let you know what happens.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/150/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Transportation, climate change, and economic growth</title>
		<link>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/137</link>
		<comments>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/137#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 22:30:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>joshuah</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/137</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I went to a panel discussion last night on &#8220;Merging Climate and Transportation Policy&#8221;. There were panelists from roughly the political left, right, and center, but all were thoughtful, had many good points, and agreed that the current system for spending federal transportation dollars is terrible. A lot of discussion about transportation and climate change [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I went to a <a href="http://cstsp.aaas.org/content.html?contentid=1773">panel discussion</a> last night on &#8220;Merging Climate and Transportation Policy&#8221;. There were panelists from roughly the political left, right, and center, but all were thoughtful, had many good points, and agreed that the current system for spending federal transportation dollars is terrible. A lot of discussion about transportation and climate change tends to focus on technological fixes, like electric cars or biofuels, but this one focused on reducing driving &#8212; essentially changing behavior. The center and left panelists seemed to be boxing at the shadow-accusation that any such attempt is &#8220;social engineering&#8221;, largely by arguing that putting the right price on driving (i.e., making it significantly more expensive) isn&#8217;t about changing behavior, it&#8217;s about letting people make the right choices. </p>
<p>Well, prices changes behavior. That&#8217;s the point. There is some psychological value to giving people options, even ones they can&#8217;t afford, as opposed to mandating something (&#8220;You can only drive on odd-numbered days&#8221;), but it&#8217;s still about changing behavior. We know that raising the price of driving causes people to do it less (cf. recent increases in gas prices and subsequent fall off in car travel), but it&#8217;s not a terribly strong effect. If we want big reductions, like cutting miles driven in half, it&#8217;s hard to imagine that just pricing people out of their cars ($15 gas?) will be acceptable. I&#8217;m convinced the much more powerful (and palatable) tools will be land-use planning, making urban cores more attractive places to live (e.g. by improving urban schools), and cultural shifts toward valuing neighborhoods and urban features.</p>
<p>One of the interesting questions that came up was, &#8220;will policies to reduce miles driven also suppress economic growth?&#8221; This is something the right and center panelists were very concerned about. And actually, it&#8217;s hard to see how a pricing-based policy wouldn&#8217;t. There could be some rebound effects, like a more vibrant commercial economy if congestion-pricing makes the city more pleasant to shop and do business in. Or perhaps everyone would save fuel on balance because congestion-pricing eliminates gridlock. However, the main effect of charging more for driving is that people have less money to spend on other things. But let&#8217;s think about the other types of policies &#8212; the ones that get people replacing cars with transit and living closer to things. Offhand, I would say the economy becomes more service-oriented. People go out to eat more, spend more on cultural attractions, meet each other in bars and so on &#8212; the classic urban lifestyle model. They have smaller houses which they spend less to fill with things and, or course, less on cars. Bad for the economy? It&#8217;s not obvious, but I&#8217;d guess it&#8217;s better for communities to have more-local economies in the long run. Another direction it might go is that car travel gets expensive/unpleasant but the alternatives aren&#8217;t great either, so people just stay home. Probably yes, this would slow economic growth. Although that shouldn&#8217;t be the question. Are people less happy? Spending more time with the family and less time commuting to far-flung jobs is not bad. Staying home to watch tv and get isolated and depressed, on the other hand, probably is bad. So there is a right way and a wrong way to reduce driving. I expect that the strategies based on building vibrant communities support both economic growth and movement to a service-based economy that is better for the environment and connects people with each other.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rationalcontemporary.com/archives/137/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

